With just eight days before Election Day, elections in crucial states are showing razor-thin margins even though 20 million Americans have already participated in early voting.
Democrats are clinging to their advantage by a thread in Georgia, Nevada, Arizona, and Pennsylvania, four of the major swing states that will likely decide who controls the U.S. Senate.
According to four New York Times/Siena Polls, Senator Mark Kelly of Arizona appears to be the most likely to keep his blue seat in the Senate, leading Republican challenger Blake Masters by 6 percent, while Senator Catherine Cortez Masto of Nevada appears to be the most likely to switch from blue to red.
In Georgia, more than 1.6 million individuals have already cast ballots, according on statistics gathered by the United States Elections Project. According to a Peach State survey, Democratic incumbent Senator Raphael Warnock leads Republican opponent and former NFL player Herschel Walker by a 49-46 percent margin.
According to the poll conducted October 24-26, Dr. Mehmet Oz is behind Democratic Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman 49–44%. However, the survey was done before the Pennsylvania Senate debate, which resulted in harsh criticism of Fetterman’s performance and raised concerns about his eligibility for office just a few months after his May stroke.
At the very least, the Republicans are certain to gain control of the lower house.
Republicans are expected to win 228 House seats in the 2022 midterm elections, leaving Democrats with 207 seats, according to a CBS News estimate.
Democrats will need to lose 15 seats to Republicans in order for this result to occur. Currently, Democrats have 222 members in the lower house, while Republicans hold 213 seats.
The nation is “out of control,” according to eight out of ten potential voters, which does not bode well for the party in power.
According to a Times survey, 45% of potential Arizona voters indicated they would support Masters if the race were conducted today, while 51% said they would support Senator Kelly.
Arizona has received 855,352 early mail-in votes as of this writing.
The Grand Canyon State is also hosting a contentious governor’s campaign between Republican Kari Lake, who has Trump’s support, and Democratic Secretary of State Katie Hobbs. As Hobbs declined to take part in a discussion, Lake moved ahead of him early this month after months of trailing by 3–7 percentage points. The two are competing for the position of retiring Republican Governor Doug Ducey.
With incumbent Senator Cortez Mastro and Laxalt deadlocked at 47 percent, Nevada is the state where a Senate seat is most likely to change parties. Three percent of respondents said they are unsure of who they would support if voting were to take place right now.
According to a Times survey, 6 percent of Pennsylvania voters are unsure whether they support Oz or Fetterman. This state has the highest percentage of undecided voters.
The two candidates in Pennsylvania are vying to succeed retiring Republican Senator Pat Toomey; if Fetterman prevails, both seats in the crucial swing state would be held by Democrats.
With one week to Election Day, more than 2 million votes had already been cast in three states.
Texas has had 2.79 early ballots cast, which is the most of any state. California is in third place with 2.36 million votes, closely followed by Florida with 2.66 million votes.