More than a quarter of a million fewer passing scores of 4 or higher will be given out this year, therefore GCSE students can expect to obtain failing results.
The distribution of grades below a standard pass, or anything lower than the equivalent of a C grade, is anticipated to decrease by 280,000, which might cause widespread disappointment.
According to an education expert, “many more” kids will fail their classes, and the grim GCSE projections are to be anticipated as test authorities work to bring scores back to pre-pandemic levels.
The largest drop in history in top grades is also expected to be over 200,00.
According to a survey, the decrease in students earning at least an A or 7 would have an impact on 75,000 kids.
A-Levels also decreased from pre-pandemic highs but held steady above 2019 levels.
After examinations were conducted for the first time since teacher-assessed grades were implemented during the Covid epidemic, a total of more than 500,000 15 and 16-year-olds will pick up their results on Thursday.
Last year, when examinations were postponed for the second consecutive year due to COVID-19, the percentage of GCSE entrants receiving top and passing scores increased to an all-time high.
The Department of Education, however, said that the GCSE grades this week would be higher than in 2019 but lower than in 2021. This is in accordance with the guidelines laid out by Ofqual and is part of the transition back to pre-pandemic grading levels.
Over the last five years, there has been a consistent rise in the proportion of pupils getting passing grades.
According to finder.com, the overall GCSE results for 2021 were better than those for 2020, with 76.9% of students receiving a grade 4 or above.
64.4% of students sitting GCSE English and Math examinations in 2019 received a grade of 4 or above.
According to a professional, grades will return to being around midway between those of 2021 and 2019.
The analysis predicts that 75,000 fewer students will get the equivalent of As or A*s this year as the examinations watchdog controls grade inflation.
Because they were less inclined to put off their studies during the lockdown in favour of playing PlayStation games, girls are predicted to score better in their GCSEs than males, according to an education expert.
According to Buckingham University’s head of education, Professor Alan Smithers, the epidemic hasn’t done anything to bridge the gender gap.
“In 2022, we may safely expect to see a decline in top grades, with many more failing to attain the pass level (C/4),” stated Prof. Smithers.
The largest percentage drop will occur among Grade 9 students in England, and many more will drop below Grade 4.
“We can rely on the A-level results as a guide.” The highest grades at A-level were reduced, but not as much as the government desired, I believe because high scores were obtained in the simpler tests and lower grades for higher marks will be difficult to sustain on appeal.
With the resumption of examinations, GCSE students received additional support similar to that given to A-level students. This support included more liberal marking, and prior knowledge of themes, equations, and equation sheets for the GCSE math, physics, and combined science exams.