According to reports, Sir Patrick Vallance, one of the co-chairs of the Government’s powerful scientific group SAGE, disagreed with the idea that masks may not be helpful in schools.
According to a report published today, Sir Patrick Vallance ‘rolled his eyes’ when experts raised concern about the ripple impact of mask use in schools.
The Chief Scientific Adviser of the Government, who also serves as co-chair of the prominent SAGE scientific group, purportedly voiced his dislike of the notion that masks would not be helpful in schools as they prepared to reopen in the summer of 2020.
Sir Patrick’s eye roll allegedly caused him to cut short his speech asking for studies to see if covers prevented the spread of Covid among students, according to Professor Robert Dingwall, a sociologist and former member of the commission.
The remarks follow Rishi Sunak’s criticism of SAGE yesterday, in which he said it was wrong to “empower” the organization since its gloomy predictions led Boris Johnson to enact a number of harmful regulations and “screwed” Britain.
The Tory leadership candidate said that the panel, which was made up of several independent experts, “edited out opposing ideas” in its minutes and failed to identify trade-offs “from the outset” in the same scathing interview with the Spectator magazine.
Members of the group yesterday accused Mr. Sunak of deflecting blame, contending that ministers are the ones who make choices and that the Government’s failure to seek more comprehensive information on the implications of shutdown measures is ‘not the responsibility’ of experts.
The scientists said that it wasn’t within their purview, but Mr. Sunak, as Chancellor, could have formed a comparable team of economists to provide opinions.
A “number of ministers,” according to Grant Shapps, Oliver Dowden, and Robert Jenrick, were worried about the absence of evidence from scientists on the financial effect of lockdowns, while other Cabinet members today supported the prime ministerial contender.
The remarks follow Rishi Sunak’s criticism of SAGE during a Tory leadership hustings event last night, in which he said it was wrong to “empower” the organization whose gloomy predictions convinced Boris Johnson to enact a number of harmful restrictions. The prospective prime minister said that No. 10 had ignored economic trade-offs “from the outset.” As she swore never to impose a lockdown if she were to become prime minister next month, Liz Truss (right), the front-runner in the contest to become the next prime minister, stressed yesterday night that schools should never have been closed as a result of the “draconian” Covid restrictions.
In one instance, Sir Patrick could be seen rolling his eyes at me from the corner of the screen, thinking, “He is going on about this again,” according to Professor Dingwall. That occurred during a Nervtag conference in the latter part of the summer of 2020. Pictured are students in a London classroom in January 2022 wearing masks after the government reinstated their use in English secondary schools.
If Liz Truss becomes prime minister, she will not impose another lockdown.
As she swore never to impose a lockdown if she becomes prime minister next month, Liz Truss last night claimed that schools should never have been closed as part of the “draconian” Covid restrictions.
The Foreign Secretary said that she had doubts about the coronavirus precautions put in place beginning in March 2020 and that, looking back, the government had “done too much” in closing down the nation.
Ms. Truss told Conservative Party members in Norwich at the most recent hustings event for the Tory leadership contest that students ought to have been let to remain in their classrooms during the epidemic.
Her remarks follow an attack on the government’s handling of the Covid policy in a magazine article by Rishi Sunak, her opponent in the race to succeed Boris Johnson as prime minister.
In his remarks, the former chancellor said that by “empower[ing]” independent scientific experts, the government was “screwed” when determining how to handle the epidemic.
He further said that he often spoke out alone in the Cabinet against lockdown tactics.
The New and Emerging Respiratory Virus Threats Group (Nervtag), a SAGE subcommittee that had frequent Zoom sessions to study the pandemic in 2020, included Professor Dingwall as a member.
Professor Dingwall said that he was worried about the consequences of Covid restrictions, such as the two-meter social separation limit, while other members stated they were in a “biomedical bubble.”
Professor Dingwall requested a research to see if mask use in classrooms truly slowed the spread of Covid at the conclusion of the 2020 summer, just as students were about to return to the classroom.
According to him, I described myself as a devoted opposition, The Telegraph said. I agreed with the research, but I didn’t agree that the policy conclusions were inevitable.
On one occasion, I caught a glimpse of Sir Patrick rolling his eyes at me from the corner of the screen, thinking, “He’s harping on about this again.” That occurred during a Nervtag conference in the latter part of the summer of 2020.
Professor Dingwall claimed the response prompted him to cut his lecture short. He has been a strong opponent of the government’s use of fear mongering throughout the epidemic.
He said that the best way to think about SAGE, which is co-chaired by Sir Patrick and Sir Chris Whitty, England’s chief medical officer, is as “a network with a strong clique at the center of it.”
He said that the social and economic views had not been taken into account.
University College London educational psychologist Dr. Gavin Morgan told The Telegraph that he felt like a “lone voice” on the SAGE subcommittee Scientific Pandemic Insights Group on Behaviours (Spi-B).
It had “already been agreed that school closures were a good thing” by the beginning of March 2020, he said.
In those early sessions, there could have been some groupthink, in retrospect.
The common position, according to one of the first papers presented by SPI-B in March 2020, was that “school closures would be severely disruptive.”
Except for the children of important employees, schools shuttered in March 2020, leaving millions of students attempting to study at home, struggling to get free school lunches, and having tests postponed following a series of U-turns.
The government said that when schools reopened in the summer, data revealed that when worn by an infected individual, face masks decreased the spread of Covid in classrooms.
Some cautioned, nonetheless, that they impeded learning.
The “largest and most devastating error the Government made during Covid,” according to MPs, was shutting schools. Others claim SAGE’s evidence “bullied” ministers into lockdowns.
In one meeting, Mr. Sunak said that there was a “huge quiet” after his plea for attendees to realize that “kids not in school is a terrible nightmare.”
The former chancellor would have found enough of data to back his position from the same group of experts he now seems to be criticizing, according to one scientist who provided advice to the Government during the epidemic.
Professor Graham Medley, a SAGE member, added: “Government has the authority; thus, if one Cabinet member believes that scientific advice was overly “empowered,” then it is a critique of their colleagues rather than the scientists.
The minutes of the Sage sessions represent the current scientific consensus since they were about science and not policy issues.
“The unknown brings out the dispute.” There is a balance between the agreement and the uncertainty; for instance, we may either all agree that eliminating schools would diminish transmission without a shadow of a doubt, or we can disagree and say that it will have a negligibly little impact.
‘Science has a function to state what the effect on the pandemic may be, but it has no place in the choice whether to shut schools or not.’
Mr. Sunak said in an interview with The Spectator that the Government had not given enough thought to the broader effects of lockdowns on the economy, health, and education.
The plan was never to recognize them, he claimed. Oh, there’s no trade-off since improving our health will also benefit the economy, according to the script.
“I felt as if nobody spoke,” We made no mention of missed [doctor’s] appointments or the significant backlog that the NHS is now experiencing. That was never included in it.
A record 6.7 million individuals in England are now waiting for normal medical care, which translates to one in every eight people.
After a “historic” spike in juvenile obesity throughout the epidemic, government data reveals record numbers of children are obese or severely overweight by the time they begin Reception or finish primary school.
Sir Patrick Vallance’s ascent from wanting to be a palaeontologist to leading the country via Covid
Sir Patrick Vallance, who was born in Essex in the 1960s, once saw himself as a “dinosaur hunter.”
But aspirations of pursuing a career in medicine quickly replaced those of becoming a highly respected palaeontologist.
He received his education at Cornwall’s Truro School, where board expenses are now close to £30,000.
He spent some time instructing at St. George’s, University of London, where the now 62-year-old graduated in the 1980s, before becoming well-known for leading the country through Covid.
Later, he developed expertise in endothelial biology as well as blood vessel disorders.
Sir Patrick spent ten years teaching at University College London and lists driving fast automobiles as his “guiltiest joy.”
He began working with GlaxoSmithKline in 2006 and remained there until 2017.
His basic pay as Executive Director after six years at GSK was reportedly £780,000 annually.
He cashed in shares worth £5 million from his time working there up to March 2018 when he quit to become No10’s main scientific adviser.
It was discovered that Sir Patrick Vallance still owned £600,000 worth of shares throughout the epidemic. Because GSK was one of several companies vying to produce a Covid vaccine, it caused debate.
The pair, who are married to former GP Sophie Dexter, reside in a semi-detached Victorian home worth £1.8 million that they paid cash for in 2018.
They have an R-class Mercedes parked in their driveway, and their street is lined with high-end automobiles.
Before they were engaged with the property, a fire had entirely destroyed it, forcing them to finish major modifications.
Together, the couple has three kids, all of whom believe their father, who was knighted in 2019, is “geeky.”
He also criticized the Government’s reliance on scientific analysis, saying ministers made crucial judgments on enacting lockdowns and bringing in restrictions by relying much too heavily on SAGE modeling.
Scientists cautioned that these numbers illustrated what might occur if the present increases in infections, hospital admissions, and fatalities persisted.
They pointed out that the forecasts failed to account for behavioral changes, such as individuals cutting down on social interactions when cases start to increase, or the broader effects of Covid limits and shutdowns.
Exaggerated numbers on the effect of viral waves made the modeling infamous.
SAGE teams predicted that daily hospitalizations during the winter Omicron spike may exceed 10,000, more than four times the actual peak of 2,400. The number of fatalities peaked 20 times lower than expected.
They also cautioned that the number of fatalities during the winter 2020 spike might reach 4,000 per day. A 1,820 high was recorded.
If you empower all these independent individuals, Mr. Sunak remarked, “You’re screwed.” We made a mistake by giving the scientists too much authority.
And you have to see trade-offs right away. If we had done all that, things might have turned out very differently. Probably, we would have chosen differently when it came to things like schools, for instance.
He said that the three lockdowns that England experienced, each lasting many months, might have been “shorter,” “different,” and “quicker.”
He did, however, tell The Spectator that he didn’t think lockdowns were an error.
However, experts argued that SAGE set policy and criticized Mr. Sunak’s remarks, stating that rather than depending on their data, the government should analyze scientific evidence and decide what actions to take.
The “limited” scope of SAGE’s mandate, according to Professor John Edmunds, an epidemiologist at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, precluded it from looking at the financial implications of lockdowns.
While Mr. Sunak’s assertions that scientific evidence exceeded economic evidence “may have some merit,” the ministers should have developed a “clearer picture” rather than requesting fewer scientific studies, he added.
Was there an army of economists working round-the-clock at colleges and research facilities around the nation to gather, sort, analyze, and predict the potential effects of various policies? asked Professor Edmunds.
If not, explain why not. Mr. Sunak, the Chancellor of the Exchequer, had the power to establish such a system but chose not to.
According to Professor Martin McKee, president of the British Medical Association (BMA), “Advisers advise, but politicians decide,” as Margaret Thatcher famously put it.
If Mr. Sunak disagreed with scientific advice so vehemently, he was more than capable of arguing his position before the cabinet.
However, officials with the government informed The Telegraph that a number of ministers were alarmed by the “frightening” dearth of data about the ripple effects of Covid limits.
Quite a bit of public money was spent as a consequence of the outbreak. The cost of government actions is estimated to be between £310 and £410 billion. This translates to around £4,600 to £6,100 per person in the UK. The National Audit Office (left), Office for Budget Responsibility (center), and International Monetary Fund each provided estimates for the cost per person (right)
They claim that Mr. Sunak was the leader of the “Save Summer Six” campaign, which called for limitations to be loosened sooner and included the Transport Secretary Grant Shapps, the former Culture Secretary Oliver Dowden, and the then-Housing Minister Robert Jenrick.
According to the unnamed source, there was “frustration” at SAGE’s decision to provide its conclusions to ministers in the form of a consensus statement, which only gave them access to the group’s majority position.
As she swore never to impose a lockdown if she becomes prime minister next month, Liz Truss, the front-runner in the contest to become the next prime minister, claimed yesterday night that schools should never have been closed as part of the “draconian” Covid restrictions.
The Foreign Secretary said that she had doubts about the coronavirus precautions put in place beginning in March 2020 and that, looking back, the government had “done too much” in closing down the nation.
The Covid epidemic in Britain
2020
23 March – Boris Johnson announces a countrywide lockdown that will go into force on March 26 in a historic televised speech. The closing of all non-essential businesses and the prohibition on larger-than-two-person public gatherings are both enforced. Police now have expanded authority to impose fines for lockdown.
On March 27, when the Covid virus spreads across Westminster, Boris Johnson and Matt Hancock both test positive for the disease. Chris Whitty isolates himself after experiencing symptoms.
5 April – After his symptoms lingered for 10 days, the prime minister is admitted to St. Thomas’ Hospital in London for “precautionary” examinations. Queen Elizabeth II thanks the public for adhering to the new Covid regulations in a rare television broadcast to the UK and the larger Commonwealth.
On April 6, Boris Johnson was transferred to an intensive care unit after his health sharply deteriorated. Dominic Raab serves in the capacity of acting first secretary of state.
23 May – It has been reported that Dominic Cummings, Boris Johnson’s top political advisor, traveled 260 miles from London to Durham to isolate himself during lockdown.
26 May – Dominic Cummings claims he doesn’t regret his lockdown-breaking trip to Durham at a remarkable news appearance in the Downing Street Rose Garden, despite demands for his resignation.
In the UK, all non-essential retail establishments open on June 15 along with institutions of worship for private worship. Face covers are now required on public transportation.
4 July – As lockdown restrictions begin to loosen in the UK, bars, restaurants, and hair salons reopen.
14 September – As Covid instances start to increase nationwide, social gatherings with more than six people are outlawed.
October 14 – In the UK, a new three-tiered lockdown system that assigns regions of the nation a medium, high, or extremely high lockdown rating goes into force.
On October 31, Boris Johnson declares a second national lockdown for England, this time extending from November 5 to December 2, in order to avert a “medical and moral calamity.”
November 9 – According to reports, the Pfizer/BioNTech Covid vaccine is 90% effective in preventing COVID-19.
November 23 – It has been determined that the Oxford/AstraZeneca vaccine is 70% effective. After the lockdown ends on December 2nd, Boris Johnson says that the original three-tier system of COVID controls would be reinstated.
The Pfizer/BioNTech vaccine arrives the following week after Britain becomes the first nation in the world to authorize a Covid vaccination on December 3. However, Boris Johnson cautions the populace against being “carried away with excessive optimism.”
The discovery of a novel Covid strain that is dispersing more quickly in certain regions of the nation is announced by Matt Hancock on December 14.
December 19 – Announcing new Tier 4 limitations and the elimination of Christmas bubbles in Tier 4 locations, Boris Johnson virtually cancels Christmas for millions of families in London, the South East, and the East of England.
2021
The nation enters its third nationwide lockdown on January 4 and all non-essential businesses and educational institutions are closed starting on January 5. The first individual to get the Oxford/AstraZeneca COVID vaccination is 82-year-old Brian Pinker.
February 22 – School openings will begin on March 8 and non-essential retail and outdoor hospitality will start operating on April 12 according to Boris Johnson’s plan for ending the third nationwide lockdown in England.
8 March – The first stage of unlocking allows for the reopening of schools and once daily outside meetings with one other person.
The directive to stay at home is still in effect.
29 March – People are free to leave their houses whenever they choose, although they are urged to “remain local” in the second portion of step one.
Meetings may be held inside or outdoors, including in private gardens, for up to two individuals. Sports venues outside may reopen.
12 April – Step two of the unlocking allows for the reopening of non-essential businesses as well as the permission for restaurants and bars to provide outside service. Zoos and theme parks are only two of the many outdoor locations that have reopened. Self-contained vacations are allowed.
On May 17, the third unlocking stage is completed. The rule of six is allowed for social gatherings inside and outdoor gatherings of up to 30 persons. Indoor establishments including theaters, restaurants, and bars may reopen. Up to 10,000 people may sit in outdoor stadiums.
14 June – After an increase in instances of the Delta variation, Boris pushes out “independence day” by more than a month. The PM claims that by moving forward the final unlocking date to July 19, the nation would have more time to immunize more individuals.
19 July – The majority of legislative restrictions on social interaction, including the rule of six, are relaxed in the penultimate phase of the route out of lockdown.
The UK becomes the first nation to approve an antiviral that may reduce the risk of severe COVID on November 4. The supply of molnupiravir, a tablet that may be taken twice daily at home, is scheduled to begin in mid-November.
Following permission from the Joint Committee on Vaccination and Immunization, the NHS launches a rollout campaign for the Covid booster vaccination on November 16.
The ‘horrific’ new version, subsequently dubbed Omicron, has 32 mutations in its spike protein, according to a UK expert who raised the alarm on November 23. In South Africa, where it was initially discovered, the strain dramatically increases the number of cases.
November 30 – To combat Omicron, the distribution of the booster vaccination is increased to include all people 18 and older.
November 8 – As it is anticipated that the Omicron version would cause case rates to skyrocket, Boris puts England under “plan B” limitations for the next winter. In most public indoor venues, face masks become required, and NHS Covid Passes are required to enter some locations. When feasible, employees are requested to work remotely.
2022
On January 27, the Omicron wave starts to subside after a tidal surge of illnesses that saw more than 200,000 new cases everyday.
The government’s “Living with Covid” law is put into effect on February 24. All remaining limitations are then lifted. Even while they will still be urged to stay away from others for five days, those who have the virus are no longer required to self-isolate.
The UK lifts its restrictions on all foreign immigrants on March 18.
April 1: Under Boris Johnson’s “living with Covid” proposal, free Covid tests are eliminated for the majority of English citizens.